Mitch, of Shadow Beverage Group, had an incredible Week 8, going 11-2 against the spread. Yes, he beat the Vodka Examiner, soundly 4-2. Still, the current 2011 “Point Spread Picks” Season Record: 59-44. Tim Tebow is 1-0. If you watch TV or listen to the radio, you know Tebow is the new Brett Favre. Thank goodness. The NFL landscape was getting a little tedious with all the distracting, wonderful football.
Sunday, October 30, 2011
Arizona Cardinals v Baltimore Ravens -12.5
The Ravens were supposed to clean up on Jacksonville Monday night. They lost to a team that they held to four field goals, and turned our impressive 8-5 Week 7 into a wholly average 7-6. Rather than adopt Baltimore as our new least favorite team (that honor belongs to the Raiders), we shall stay on the wagon and watch them destroy the Cardinals, who may not score at all. Mitch still hates to give points.
Mitch Pick: Arizona +12.5
Vodka Examiner: Baltimore -12.5
Minnesota Vikings v Carolina Panthers -3.5
Carolina won another game, behind another impressive Cam Newton outing. The Vikings lost another game, but did not look so bad against the best team in the universe (Green Bay). Rookie, now-starter, Christian Ponder did not embarrass himself (Donovan McNabb). Ponder hits the road for the first time at the helm, but Carolina’s D is nothing to fear, and Adrian Peterson is truly piloting this ship.
Both pick: Minnesota +3.5
Jacksonville Jaguars v Houston Texans – 9.5
Arain Foster is a man possessed. Jacksonville just shut out Ray Rice, the best running back this side of Arian Foster. Something is going to give, and it may be Foster’s hamstring.
Both pick: Jacksonville +9.5
Miami Dolphins v New York Giants -9.5
One Denver Bronco (Tebow) beat the entire Miami Dolphins team, despite spotting them 15 points. The Giants boast six or seven serviceable players, who somehow lost to Seattle at home, but will roll over any J.P. Losman lead team. Dolphin coach Tony Sparano put his Florida home up for sale. Miami may have some focus issues Sunday.
Both pick: New York -9.5
New Orleans Saints v St. Louis Rams +12.5
You cannot score in single digits and remain relevant in the NFL (see St. Louis Rams). The Saints just beat a team not world’s worse than the Rams by 55 points. Mitch warns, this may be a trap game. It should be a sure thing. Bet the money intended for your children wisely.
Mitch: St. Louis +12.5
VE: New Orleans -12.5
Indianapolis Colts v Tennessee Titans -9.5
While wholly without hope, the Colts were competitive for the first few weeks of the season. Several double digit losses in a row now and it looks like they’ve run out of steam. The Titans just got it handed to them by Houston, though Indy is no Houston. Still too many points for Mitch.
Mitch: Indianapolis +9.5
VE: Tennessee -9.5
Washington Redskins v Buffalo Bills -5.5
Besides being a fantasy football dead zone, the Redskins have become one of those awful teams of which you hope you’re not a fan (see NFC/AFC West). Buffalo has many good players who you can be sure will be starting this week. That’s enough for one of us.
Mitch: Washington +5.5
VE: Buffalo -5.5
Detroit Lions v Denver Broncos +.5
The Tim Tebow sensation has struck, and now the Broncos game lines are ruined. Detroit has lost their last two games, but neither of their opponents are as bad as Denver; Tebow or no. Tebow can screw around and beat Miami, or come back against the Chargers, but the Lions are playing real, grownup football.
Both pick: Detroit -.5
New England Patriots v Pittsburgh Steelers +2.5
Pittsburgh fans, and players, take issue when the press surrounding the Steelers is merely good. Say something uncomplimentary about this team and you may be beaten by terrible towels. Going into a home game as 2.5-point underdogs is insulting, even though it is against the Patriots. Hurt Steeler-feelings aside, New England does not have the defense to justify this point spread.
Both pick: Pittsburgh +2.5
Cleveland Browns v San Francisco 49ers -9.5
Now that Detroit and Buffalo have netted a few losses, the San Francisco 49ers stand as the NFL’s biggest surprise success. When your team is rolling, it is almost a shame to go on a bye. But, you can do a lot worse than come off your bye to a home game against the Browns. Expect the worst game of Colt McCoy’s young career. Mitch, not being from San Diego, does not share our Alex Smith empathy.
Mitch: Cleveland +9.5
VE: San Francisco -9.5
Cincinnati Bengals v Seattle Seahawks +2.5
In a match up such as this, the team getting points is terrible. You do not want to bet on such a team. Full disclosure, you don’t want to bet on either of these dogs. Take the home team, and the points, and an aspirin.
Both pick: Seattle +2.5
Dallas Cowboys v Philadelphia Eagles -3.5
Dallas is showing they can keep games close against quality opponents. They held Tom Brady and the Patriots to 13 points, until the final drive of the game, and suffocated Matt Stafford’s Lions for most of that game. Michael Vick is less predictable than those guys, and in a game that can go either way, it is difficult to give more than a field goal, even if it is merely 0.5 more. Mitch isn’t following our logic.
Mitch: Philadelphia -3.5
VE: Dallas +3.5
Monday, October 31, 2011
San Diego Chargers v Kansas City Chiefs +3.5
We are getting tired of missing on Chargers games, but see no end to it. San Diego is 4-2 on the season despite tragic underachievement. The Chiefs covered easily in San Diego despite being outscored 89-10 in their previous two games. Kansas City is now getting points at home. We desperately want to take the Chargers, as we know them to be the superior team here, but again, we are fed up with being let down.
Both pick: Kansas City +3.5
Follow the 2011 NFL “Point Spreads and Picks” online. Please subscribe to our article feed.
We are 59-44 after all.