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COLUMBUS, Ohio (CGE) – The well respected independent Quinnipiac University poll released Tuesday shows Ohio Gov.John Kasich with tepid approval ratings no better than the depressed ratings for President Obama, which some say will result in a loss for him 13 months from now when the battle royal over who occupies the White House for the next four years takes place.
A 41-point disapproval from union households and a 16-point disapproval from women keep Ohio Gov. John Kasich under water with a negative 40 – 49 percent overall job approval. This compares to a negative 35 – 50 percent approval in a July 20 Quinnipiac survey.
Averaging the four most recent polls on Obama’s approval ratings, the president weighs in at 43 percent approval.
Ohio voters support 51 – 38 percent repeal in a November referendum of SB 5, the law limiting collective bargaining for public employees, compared to 56 – 32 percent in July.
The Quinnipiac University Poll is directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., and conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research.
Republican voters approve of Gov. Kasich 72 – 18 percent, but disapproval is 74 – 17 percent among Democrats and 48 – 38 percent among independent voters. Men split 45 – 46 percent while women disapprove 51 – 35 percent. Disapproval among voters in households with a union member is 68 – 27 percent.
“Ohio voters seem to be warming a little toward Gov. John Kasich, although he is still under water when it comes to public opinion,” Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, said. “The governor still has more than three years left until he faces the voters again and his numbers are moving in the right direction.
But with only about six weeks left before Ohioans vote on SB 5, it looks likely that it will come down to the wire. Support for repealing the bill in the November referendum, Brown noted, has dropped from a 24-point to a 13-point margin. The good news for backers of SB5 is that it’s moving in their direction.
“The referendum on SB 5 also is a referendum on John Kasich,” Brown added.
Another area where Kasich shows improvement is voter perception of the fairness of his budget. Ohioans say it is unfair 49 – 36 percent, up from 50 – 32 percent in July.
Brown noted that Kasich has a ways to go to “get his head above water, especially among women and union members,” but said his overall numbers are getting better.
Among other poll findings, Ohio voters oppose 56 – 32 percent Kasich’s proposal to lease the Ohio Turnpike to a private company to raise money to fund transportation projects.
Ohio’s junior U.S. Senator, Rob Portman, earned a 41 – 23 percent approval rating.
From September 20 – 25, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,301 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.
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