Tropical Storm Lee has winds of 60 mph as it settles in on the north central Gulf of Mexico during the day. Wind is not much of an issue, although it will help to push a 5 foot storm surge into some spread of Louisiana. Check out the maps in our slide show on the left. The impact on Louisiana will be great in terms of water surged up and falling down.
That is the 5-day rainfall outlook from NOAA’s Hydrometeorological Prediction Center. It shows close to 24 inches of rainfall for southern Louisiana, including New Orleans. This is due to a storm that is expected to slowly move across the region, resulting in what will bring tremendous flooding.
The latest computer model suggestions are back where they were on Wednesday. This bring the moisture northward to interact with a cold front across the Appalachian Mountains and into Maryland with 5 inches of rain or more possible by next Wednesday. See more on the impact up into the Mid Atlantic and hard hit Maryland here.
Watches and Warnings:
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS…INCLUDING
THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS…LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN…AND LAKE MAUREPAS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
Latest NHC UPDATE on Lee
SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT…1200 UTC…INFORMATION
ABOUT 15 MI…25 KM SSE OF INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA
ABOUT 45 MI…70 KM S OF NEW IBERIA LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…60 MPH…95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 7 MPH…11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…995 MB…29.38 INCHES
ABOUT 530 MI…850 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…75 MPH…120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH…17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…988 MB…29.18 INCHES
This is back to hurricane intensity and is expected to increase to a Category 3 storm during next week. While hurricane force winds extend only 35 miles from the center, it will spread large swells to the Lesser Antilies islands and eventually Bermuda over the weekend.
Long range computer models do show a close approach to the US coast, but the remnants of Tropical Storm Lee should help to protect the Mid Atlantic, yet there is some risk for the outer edge to clip Cape Cod.
See the latest images and forecast maps in the slide show on the left.
Tropical Story Links:
- Tropical Storm Climatology: Origin points mapped out every 10 days of theseason
- 2011 Hurricane season forecast and review of 2010
- 2011 Hurricane season video report: Joe Bastardi forecast for more US landfalls
2010 Season Recap:
- Records and individual storm links
- Video of 2010 Season from NOAA
NOTE: 2009 was among the least active in the last two decades (video)
Hurricane Awareness Week Links:
- Hurricane Awareness Week: History of storms 1900-1979
- Hurricane Awareness Week: History of Atlantic storms 1980-2005
- Hurricane Awareness Week: Storm surge highlights oil danger on Louisiana coast
- Hurricane Awareness Week: Inland Flooding
NEW:Satellite Loop Movie: 72 hours of Total Precipitable Water and TRMM